Monday, January 7, 2019

Income Factory Portfolio Update #27

The Split Share Income Factory is currently composed of capital shares of Canadian split share stocks that are listed on the TSX and NEO exchanges.  This portfolio is an exercise to see how stable such a portfolio would be and develop some rules around stock selection and portfolio management. 

For a description of Portfolio Goals and Process, see this post.  For a description of the initial portfolio, see this post.

The markets at close on Friday, January 4, 2019:
Market Value Change 2017 Close 52 wk High Off 52 Wk H Change % Market
S&P TSX Composite 14,426.62 204.62 16,209.13 16,586.46 -2159.84 -13.02% Correction
S&P/TSX Venture 587.44 35.35 850.72 939.66 -352.22 -37.48% Bear
Dow Jones Industrial 23,433.16 357.67 24,719.22 26,951.81 -3518.65 -13.06% Correction
NASDAQ 6,738.86 154.34 6,903.39 8,133.30 -1394.44 -17.14% Correction
Standard & Poors 500 2,531.94 46.56 2,673.61 2,940.91 -408.97 -13.91% Correction

This is the second week in a row to show some green.  The week was split between 2018 and 2019, so perhaps it is a sign of what is to come.  While the Venture exchange is still in a correction, the NASDAQ has moved back into correction territory.

Split shares were also sporting some green this week as 20 were up and two were down. Many had gains exceeding 20 cents per share this week.  Three had no change, they are three of the most lightly traded split shares, XMF.A, TXT.UN, and YCM.
Gainers/losers for the week ending January 4

Symbol Price Change
TSE:ENS $11.47 $0.67
FFN $4.67 $0.46
OSP $2.48 $0.46
TSE:FTN $5.81 $0.42
XTD $5.95 $0.40
DFN $7.96 $0.39
LCS $2.85 $0.34
LFE $2.32 $0.31
SBN $5.11 $0.30
TSE:GDV $8.70 $0.25
PIC.A $6.45 $0.23
TSE:LBS $6.66 $0.22
TSE:BK $9.91 $0.21
TSE:DF $3.50 $0.21
SBC $11.58 $0.12
TSE:PRM $12.33 $0.12
TSE:DGS $3.58 $0.05
TSE:BSD.UN $0.29 $0.04
WFS $2.08 $0.01
FCS.UN $3.11 $0.01
TSE:XMF.A $0.13 $0.00
TXT.UN $2.57 $0.00
YCM $0.86 $0.00
FTU $0.44 -$0.02
PDV $5.40 -$0.47

CSSI Index
The CSSI (Canadian Split Shares Index) is the total of what it would cost to buy one share of each Capital share currently on the market.  It moved up for the second week in a row.

Value Change Since 8/3/18 Since 8/3/18 Up Down
$126.21 $4.73 -$54.77 -30.26% 20 2
CSSI Index CSSI Index Change
Max $183.09 Max $7.97
Min $113.51 Min -$14.92

  • The value of $126.21 is what it would cost to buy one share of each Capital share which is up $4.73 from last week, the second week in a row to move up after three consecutive weeks moving down
  • The CSSI is down -$54.77 or 30.26% since August 3, 2018 when Middlefield listed ENS on the TSX
  • Twenty split shares closed up from last week, while 2 were down
  • The high since August 3, 2018 is $183.09 on August 24, 2018 
  • The low is $113.51 on Dec. 21
  • The largest weekly increase is $7.97 for the week ended December 28
  • The largest weekly drop is -$14.92 for the week ended December 21, with -$13.87 on October 12 and -$11.21 on October 26 as close followers
Summary of the last five weeks:
Week CSSI Weekly Weekly Trailing 5 Weeks Since 8/3/18 Since 8/3/18
Ended Value Change % Change Change % Change Total % Change
12/07/18 $138.11 -$6.83 -4.71% -$9.02 -6.13% -$42.87 -23.69%
12/14/18 $128.43 -$9.68 -7.01% -$23.22 -15.31% -$52.55 -29.04%
12/21/18 $113.51 -$14.92 -11.62% -$34.53 -23.32% -$67.47 -37.28%
12/28/18 $121.48 $7.97 7.02% -$21.48 -15.03% -$59.50 -32.88%
01/04/19 $126.21 $4.73 3.89% -$18.73 -12.92% -$54.77 -30.26%

This Week's Prices and % off the Low
Name Symbol Price Yield 52 wk low % off low Volume
Top 10 Split Trust TXT.UN $2.57 13.10% $2.57 0.00% 0
Prime Dividend Corp. Class A PDV $5.40 14.67% $5.19 4.05% 6,799
Big Pharma Split Class A TSE:PRM $12.33 10.02% $11.60 6.29% 800
E Split Corp Class A TSE:ENS $11.47 10.46% $10.45 9.76% 8,180
Brompton Split Banc Corp. SBC $11.58 10.36% $10.37 11.67% 6,579
Premium Income Class A PIC.A $6.45 12.59% $5.75 12.17% 14,701
TDb Split Corp XTD $5.95 10.08% $5.10 16.67% 8,920
Canadian Banc Corp TSE:BK $9.91 13.93% $8.40 17.98% 9,200
Global Dividend Growth Split Corp TSE:GDV $8.70 13.79% $7.11 22.36% 29,618
Dividend 15 Split Corp. DFN $7.96 15.08% $6.17 29.01% 128,803
Life & Banc Split Corp. TSE:LBS $6.66 18.02% $4.93 35.09% 83,302

Previously eliminated from consideration are: BSD.UN, DF, DGS, FFN, FTN, FTU, LCS, LFE, OSP, SBN, WFS, XMF.A and YCM.  All have currently suspended distributions or have never made them.  Since the focus of this portfolio is on income, when the portfolio can sustain itself certain suspended issues may be considered.


This Week's Buy

As a round was completed last week, this week the aim is to buy one of the four split shares needed to complete this round so that the income from each position is equal.

This week's buy is PRM, a product of Harvest Portfolios. The Portfolio of PRM is comprised primarily of the largest (as determined by market capitalization calculated in US$) Pharmaceutical Issuers in the Investable Universe.

For further background on PRM, see the PRM Profile.

Metrics on PRM as of January 4, 2019
NAV Price Discount Distribution Yield NAV Covrg
$13.74 $12.33 10.26% $0.10310 10.03% 2.75
Avg Price $13.09
Avg Yld 9.47%
$A/B Avg -$0.76
Price @ Avg $13.06
PBAP -5.82%
PAAY 0.56%

  • At January 4, the discount was 10.26%.  This is one of the few split shares that consistently maintains a discount to NAV
  • $A/B Avg Above/Below Average.  The price of $12.33 is $0.76 below the 2018 average price 
  • PBAP Percent Below Average Price.  $12.33 is -5.82% below the average price.  The more negative this number is, the better a buying opportunity it is, so -5.82% below the average suggests an entry point
  • PAAY Percent Above Average Yield.  The larger this number is, the better a buying opportunity it is.  The current value of 0.56% suggests an entry point
Price, NAV & Discount/Premium Range
2018 Low High Range
NAV $13.01 $15.15 $2.14
NAV Yield 8.17% 9.51% 1.34%
Price $11.90 $14.12 $2.22
Disc/Prem -13.15% -4.16% 8.99%
NAV Covrg 2.60 3.03 0.43

The NAV coverage for PRM is standard among most split shares with a $15 threshold.  The application of the $15 threshold varies, as some will pay if the NAV is $15 or greater and others will not pay if after doing so the NAV would be less than $15.  PRM is the latter, i.e. no payment will be made if after such payment the NAV would be less than $15.

The NAV coverage is the highest among split share companies.  It has varied within a fairly small range of 0.43 and at last NAV report was a quite healthy 2.75.

The NAV yield is the lowest among split shares that are currently above the threshold for making distributions.  This means the NAV won't fall as much after a distribution and the fund doesn't have to generate as high a return to make the same distribution.

This week's buy will be 100 shares, or one board lot.  This week's purchase will be made using  the recent distribution from TXT.UN of $39.12 and $1,193.88 of new capital, with the cost of the portfolio rising to $55,956.

  • It will bring the cost basis on PRM down from $13.18 to $12.90
  • The yield on capital will rise slightly from 8.43% to 8.48%
  • $10.30 monthly will be added to the income stream, an increase of 2.81%
  • The average monthly potential income will rise to $536.28
  • The current monthly income will rise from $366.97 to $376.97
  • The average current monthly income of $376.97 is 30.57% of this week's purchase
  • The initial goal is for the monthly income to cover at least one monthly purchase
  • The portfolio is now composed of 48% of companies currently making distributions (12) and 52% of those suspended (13).  
  • In dollar terms, the active income is 70.29%, the suspended portion is 29.71%.
  
After this week's buy:
Capital Invested $53,358.26 Holdings 22
Dist Reinvested $2,597.74 Share Count 7,600
Cost Basis $55,956.00 Full Positions 9
Cash on Hand $0.00 to Comp Rnd $2,788.55
Total $55,956.00 Suspended 13
Market Price $41,498.00 Cap Gain 0
Cash on Hand $0.00 Cap Gain+Dist 2
Portfolio Value $41,498.00 Cash Return $2,597.74
Potential Income $536.28 Cash Return % 4.64%
Current Income $376.97 Cap Gain -$14,458.00
Income Increase 2.81% Cap Gain % -25.84%
Yield on Capital 8.48% Total Return -$11,860.26
Yield on Cost 8.08% Total Return % -21.20%
Yield at Market 10.90% This Week $1,352.00


  • Full positions is the number of positions at the target income for the current round.  This round is now complete
  • The value of $2,788.55 beside the label, "To Comp Rnd" is the dollar value required to complete this round of purchasing a full position of all current holdings such that the income from each would be roughly equal.  
  • Suspended is the number of Class A shares that are currently not paying, or have never paid, currently composed of BSD.UN, DF, DGS, FFN, FTN, FTU, LCS, LFE, OSP, SBN, WFS, XMF and YCM.  The number of companies that have suspended the Class A share distributions has now exceeded the number that are actively paying.
  • Cap Gain is the number of holdings that have a capital gain.  Last week 0, this week 0, and the portfolio gained $1,352.00 this week.  This is the second largest weekly increase since tracking began
  • Cap Gain + Dist is the number of holdings that are above the cost basis when adding capital gains and distributions.  Last week 0, this week 2.  Distributions have only been sufficient to compensate for the loss in share price in the case of PIC.A and XTD.
  • Even with $159.32 of the income currently suspended, $376.97 monthly on a cost basis of $55,956 equates to a yield of 8.48%.  
  • For dividend growth investors who target 5%, on a cost of $55,956 that equates to $233.15 monthly which makes this Income Factory's cash output 61.69% higher

There are a few approaches one could take when split share prices are down as they are now:
  • Take it as a sale and go shopping.  The yields are great.  When the market recovers, one will recover their investment quickly with the high yields
  • Give up on high yield and sell.  When this approach is taken, those who do so often conclude high yield just isn't worth it.  This may be so, and is why this blog will continue to monitor split shares to see if one can profit by holding and adding at the dips

Despite the paper losses in the Split Share portfolio, the Income Factory continues to crank out more cash than investing in the underlying stocks directly.  

Despite the fact that there are more suspended than active in the portfolio, the portfolio started off the new year with a rise in income and a rise in portfolio market value.  What will Mr. Market have for us this year?

Saturday, December 29, 2018

Income Factory Portfolio Update #26

The Split Share Income Factory is currently composed of capital shares of Canadian split share stocks that are listed on the TSX and NEO.  This portfolio is an exercise to see how stable such a portfolio would be and develop some rules around stock selection and portfolio management. 

For a description of Portfolio Goals and Process, see this post.  For a description of the initial portfolio, see this post.

The markets at close on Friday, December 28, 2018:







Market Value Change 2017 Close 52 wk High Off 52 Wk H Change % Market
S&P TSX Composite 14,222.00 286.56 16,209.13 16,586.46 -2364.46 -14.26% Correction
S&P/TSX Venture 552.09 21.89 850.72 939.66 -387.57 -41.25% Bear
Dow Jones Industrial 23,075.49 630.12 24,719.22 26,951.81 -3876.32 -14.38% Correction
NASDAQ 6,584.52 251.53 6,903.39 8,133.30 -1548.78 -19.04% Correction
Standard & Poors 500 2,485.38 68.75 2,673.61 2,940.91 -455.53 -15.49% Correction

This is the first week in the month of December to show some green.  While the TSXV is still in a bear market, the NASDAQ has risen slightly out of the bear and into serious correction.

Split shares were also sporting some green this week as 15 were up and seven were down.  While it may seem odd that there would be any that are further down this week, those that are down are primarily those that are not and have not made any distributions with the exceptions of FSC.UN and TXT.UN.  

In the case of FCS.UN (which has moved from the TSX to the NEO exchange) its NAV has dropped below $4, and while it has not yet missed a distribution, it will need some strong gains in the new year to maintain them.

In the case of TXT.UN, its NAV has fallen to $1.77 so the price is following it down.  The unit NAV is $14.47 and the minimum NAV is $12.50, so it will continue to maintain the distribution.

FTN made the biggest gain followed by LBS.  FTN tends to maintain the largest premium.  This is likely in part due to the fact that it pays the largest distribution.  It will not pay in January, however, so why it has surged above $5 is not clear.  Perhaps there is a large number of speculators who expect it to return to its $10+ price at some point in 2019.

The gainers/losers for the week ending December 28:


Symbol Price Change Change %
TSE:FTN $5.39 $1.79 33.21%
TSE:LBS $6.44 $1.17 18.17%
DFN $7.57 $0.94 12.42%
FFN $4.21 $0.91 21.62%
OSP $2.02 $0.91 45.05%
SBC $11.46 $0.80 6.98%
TSE:BK $9.70 $0.72 7.42%
TSE:DGS $3.53 $0.57 16.15%
TSE:DF $3.29 $0.54 16.41%
LCS $2.51 $0.29 11.55%
XTD $5.55 $0.26 4.68%
TSE:PRM $12.21 $0.21 1.72%
LFE $2.01 $0.19 9.45%
PIC.A $6.22 $0.07 1.13%
TSE:GDV $8.45 $0.05 0.59%
TSE:ENS $10.80 $0.00 0.00%
TSE:XMF.A $0.13 $0.00 0.00%
FTU $0.46 -$0.01 -2.17%
TXT.UN $2.57 -$0.03 -1.17%
WFS $2.07 -$0.06 -2.90%
PDV $5.87 -$0.07 -1.19%
TSE:BSD.UN $0.25 -$0.10 -40.00%
SBN $4.81 -$0.14 -2.91%
YCM $0.86 -$0.14 -16.28%
FCS.UN $3.10 -$0.90 -29.03%

CSSI Index

The CSSI (Canadian Split Shares Index) is the total of what it would cost to buy one share of each Capital share currently on the market.  It had its largest move up this week since August 3.

Value Change Since 8/3/18 Up Down
$121.48 $7.97 -$59.50 15 7
CSSI Index CSSI Index Change
Max $183.09 Max $7.97
Min $113.51 Min -$14.92

  • The value of $121.48 is what it would cost to buy one share of each Capital share which is up $7.97 from last week, the largest weekly increase since August 3.
  • The CSSI is down -$59.50 or 37.28% since August 3, 2018 when Middlefield listed ENS on the TSX
  • Fifteen split shares closed up from last week, while 7 were down
  • The high since August 3, 2018 is $183.09 on August 24, 2018 the low is $113.51
  • The largest weekly increase is $7.97 for the week ended December 28
  • The largest weekly drop is -$14.92 for the week ended December 21, with -$13.87 on October 12 and -$11.21 on October 26 as close followers
Week CSSI Weekly Weekly Trailing 5 Weeks Since 8/3/18 Since 8/3/18
Ended Value Change % Change Change % Change Total % Change
11/30/18 $144.94 $1.98 1.39% -$1.43 -19.91% -$36.04 -19.91%
12/07/18 $138.11 -6.83 -4.71% -9.02 -6.13% -42.87 -23.69%
12/14/18 $128.43 -9.68 -7.01% -23.22 -15.31% -52.55 -29.04%
12/21/18 $113.51 -14.92 -11.62% -34.53 -23.32% -67.47 -37.28%
12/28/18 $121.48 7.97 7.02% -21.48 -15.03% -59.5 -32.88%

This Week's Prices and % off the Low
Name Symbol Price Yield 52 wk low % off low Volume
Top 10 Split Trust TXT.UN $2.57 13.10% $2.57 0.00% 4,520
Faircourt Split Trust FCS.UN $3.10 23.23% $3.01 2.99% 1,470
E Split Corp Class A TSE:ENS $10.80 11.11% $10.45 3.35% 920
Big Pharma Split Class A TSE:PRM $12.21 10.12% $11.60 5.26% 2,900
Premium Income Class A PIC.A $6.22 13.05% $5.75 8.17% 33,769
TDb Split Corp XTD $5.55 10.81% $5.10 8.82% 10,540
Brompton Split Banc Corp. SBC $11.46 10.47% $10.37 10.51% 22,140
Prime Dividend Corp. Class A PDV $5.87 13.49% $5.19 13.10% 100
Canadian Banc Corp TSE:BK $9.70 14.23% $8.40 15.48% 14,572
Global Dividend Growth Split Corp TSE:GDV $8.45 14.20% $7.11 18.85% 5,900
Dividend 15 Split Corp. DFN $7.57 15.85% $6.17 22.69% 188,274
Life & Banc Split Corp. TSE:LBS $6.44 18.63% $4.93 30.63% 235,784

Previously eliminated from consideration are: BSD.UN, DF, DGS, FFN, FTN, FTU, LCS, LFE, OSP, SBN, WFS, XMF.A and YCM.  All have currently suspended distributions or have never made them.  Since the focus of this portfolio is on income, when the portfolio can sustain itself certain suspended issues may be considered.

This Week's Buy

Due to overweight positions in TXT.UN, FCS.UN and ENS, this week's buy is PRM, a product of Harvest Portfolios. The Portfolio of PRM will be comprised primarily of the largest (as determined by market capitalization calculated in US$) Pharmaceutical Issuers in the Investable Universe.

For further background on PRM, see the PRM Profile.

Metrics on PRM as of December 28, 2018
NAV Price Discount Distribution Yield NAV Covrg
$13.70 $12.21 10.89% $0.10310 10.13% 2.74
Avg Price $13.13
Avg Yld 9.44%
$A/B Avg -$0.92
Price @ Avg $13.10
PBAP -6.99%
PAAY 0.69%


  • At December 28, the discount was 10.89%.  This is one of the few split shares that consistently maintains a discount to NAV
  • $A/B Avg Above/Below Average.  The price of $12.21 is $0.92 below the 2018 average price 
  • PBAP Percent Below Average Price.  $12.21 is -6.99% below the average price.  The more negative this number is, the better a buying opportunity it is, so -6.99% below the average suggests an entry point
  • PAAY Percent Above Average Yield.  The larger this number is, the better a buying opportunity it is.  The current value of 0.69% suggests an entry point
Price, NAV & Discount/Premium Range
2018 Low High Range
NAV $13.01 $15.15 $2.14
Price $11.90 $14.12 $2.22
Disc/Prem -13.15% -4.16% 8.99%
NAV Covrg 2.60 3.03 0.43

The NAV coverage for PRM is standard among most split shares with a $15 threshold.  The application of the $15 threshold varies, as some will pay if the NAV is $15 or greater and others will not pay if after doing so the NAV would be less than $15.  PRM is the latter, i.e. no payment will be made if after such payment the NAV would be less than $15.

The NAV coverage is the highest among split share companies.  It has varied within a fairly small range of 0.43 and at last NAV report was a quite healthy 2.74.

This week's buy will be 100 shares, or one board lot.  This week's purchase will be made using  $11.90 of new capital, with the cost of the portfolio rising to $54,692.

  • It will bring the cost basis on PRM down from $14.15 to $13.03
  • The yield on capital will rise slightly from 8.39% to 8.44%
  • $10.30 monthly will be added to the income stream, an increase of 2.89%
  • The average monthly potential income will rise to $525.98
  • The current monthly income will rise from $356.37 to $366.67
  • The average current monthly income of $366.67 is 30.81% of this week's purchase
  • The initial goal is for the monthly income to cover at least one monthly purchase
This week marks a milestone for the portfolio as one round has been completed.  A round is completed when at least one purchase is made of each holding in the portfolio.  The target income was $240 annually per security.  It has taken 26 weeks to complete this round, as PRM either was too low on the list or other holdings were coming up with better bargains due either to Offerings being made or the recent volatility in the markets.

The portfolio is now composed of 83% of companies currently making distributions and 17% of those suspended.  The next round will continue to add only to those positions that are making distributions and have what is considered to be a safe NAV coverage.

For Round Three, the goal is now $360 annually per security.  Only four purchases will be required to complete this round with a total cost at today's prices of $3,924.49.  The positions to potentially be increased are DFN, PDV, PRM and SBC.
  
After this week's buy:
Capital Invested $52,164.38 Holdings 22
Dist Reinvested $2,558.62 Share Count 7,500
Cost Basis $54,723.00 Full Positions 15
Cash on Hand $0.00 to Comp Rnd $108.25
Total $54,723.00 Suspended 13
Market Price $38,913.00 Cap Gain 0
Cash on Hand $0.00 Cap Gain+Dist 0
Portfolio Value $38,913.00 Cash Return $2,558.62
Potential Income $525.98 Cash Return % 4.68%
Current Income $366.67 Cap Gain -$15,810.00
Income Increase 2.89% Cap Gain % -28.89%
Yield on Capital 8.43% Total Return -$13,251.38
Yield on Cost 8.04% Total Return % -24.22%
Yield at Market 11.31% This Week $1,488.00


  • Full positions is the number of positions at the target income for the current round.  This round is now complete
  • The value of $108.25 beside the label, "To Comp Rnd" is the dollar value required to complete this round of purchasing a full position of all current holdings such that the income from each would be roughly equal.  This value includes non paying splits so the round will conclude without reducing this value to zero.  The new dollar value to complete this round is $3,924.49
  • Suspended is the number of Class A shares that are currently not paying, or have never paid, currently composed of BSD.UN, DF, DGS, FFN, FTN, FTU, LCS, LFE, OSP, SBN, WFS, XMF and YCM
  • Cap Gain is the number of holdings that have a capital gain.  Last week 0, this week 0, and the portfolio gained $1,488.00 this week.  This is the largest weekly increase since tracking began
  • Cap Gain + Dist is the number of holdings that are above the cost basis when adding capital gains and distributions.  Last week 0, this week 0.  Distributions have not been sufficient to compensate for the loss in share price.
  • Even with $159.32 of the income currently suspended, $366.67 monthly on a cost basis of $54,723 equates to a yield of 8.43%.  
  • For dividend growth investors who target 5%, on a cost of $54,723 that equates to $228.01 monthly which makes this Income Factory's cash output 60% higher

There are a few approaches one could take when split share prices are down as they are now:
  • Take it as a sale and go shopping.  The yields are great.  When the market recovers, one will recover their investment quickly with the high yields
  • Give up on high yield and sell.  When this approach is taken, those who do so often conclude high yield just isn't worth it.  This may be so, and is why this blog will continue to monitor split shares to see if one can profit by holding and adding at the dips
  • Take it as an opportunity for a quick capital gain.  The variable here is the time frame.  Will it be quick, or could prices hover at this level for several more months?  
  • Looking back, LCS, SBN, and DGS could have only been purchased once the monthly income was higher, as once a position suspends distributions it becomes a one step forward two steps back process.  This can be remedied by only buying those split shares with much higher NAV coverage so that the income is more stable.
This will be the last purchase for 2018.  Despite the red in the markets, and the heavy losses in the Split Share portfolio, the Income Factory continues to crank out more cash than investing in the underlying stocks directly.  

The next question this blog will seek an answer to is, "Will the income continue to rise despite the suspensions of distributions?"  and "Will this portfolio be sustainable despite the capital losses?"  At this point it looks like it will, but the exercise will continue to see how it unfolds.